Iran retains arsenal of 1,500 to 2,500 missiles, US intelligence finds

Assessment indicates Tehran still holds enough weaponry to threaten American and allied forces if full-scale conflict resumes

Iran retains arsenal of 1,500 to 2,500 missiles, US intelligence finds
Representative stock image (Pexels), not a photo of the reported event.
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Iran maintains an arsenal of between 1,500 and 2,500 missiles, according to a recent US intelligence assessment. This finding suggests that Tehran retains a substantial capacity to strike American and allied forces in the Middle East, even following months of airstrikes by US and Israeli military forces aimed at degrading the country's defense infrastructure.

US officials, who provided the information to The Wall Street Journal, noted that these figures carry a degree of uncertainty due to the difficulty in distinguishing between missiles ready for immediate launch and those currently in storage. Israeli military officials have similarly estimated that the stockpile exceeds 1,500 ballistic missiles, though regional assessments vary on the exact count.

While strikes have impacted Iran's production facilities, reports indicate that the country has continued to rebuild its capabilities by utilizing stockpiled components. Officials observed that while the rebuilding process is slower than it was prior to the conflict, Iran continues to possess a significant number of drones and short-range missiles. The assessment contrasts with previous statements from the Trump administration suggesting that Iran's military capabilities had been largely decimated.

Beyond the quantity of its inventory, analysts highlighted that Iran has improved the effectiveness of its operations. By integrating drones with ballistic missiles and utilizing updated intelligence and targeting data—reportedly with assistance from allies like Russia—Iran has managed to inflict damage on US radar systems and early-warning facilities. In response to these improved tactics, the US has relocated several military assets to Israel for safety.

Key facts

  • Estimates place Iran’s current missile stockpile between 1,500 and 2,500 units.
  • Simone Ledeen, a former US defense official, stated that even the lower estimate suggests Iran has replenished over half of its pre-war inventory.
  • Iran has reportedly integrated advanced targeting data and drone-missile combinations to enhance its offensive reach.
  • Estimating the exact arsenal size remains difficult due to Tehran’s reliance on multiple producers and secretive underground facilities.

Why it matters

The persistence of this missile capability has become a point of internal discussion within the Trump administration regarding the potential for resuming joint military strikes with Israel. The intelligence underscores the ongoing threat to US military positions and allied interests in the region should the war escalate further.

Background

Prior to the current conflict that began in February 2026, Iran reportedly underwent a period of significant arsenal replenishment following a 12-day war in June 2025.

Source: Times of India, Hindustan Times

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